Let’s call the bombing of Iran and the ensuing blockage of the Strait of Hormuz what it really is: Trump’s Folly. He has a confusing and troubling history with the Islamic Republic of Iran.
In 2017, he withdrew the U.S. from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, an agreement negotiated with Iran and other world powers to carefully watch over Iran’s nuclear program to ensure that it did not develop nuclear weapons. In the first months of his second occupation of the Oval Office, without provocation, he ordered the bombing of Iran’s nuclear sites claiming to have completely obliterated them. Then in February of this year, Trump ordered a second round of attacks, which claimed the life of Iran’s supreme leader, as well as the lives of more than 180 elementary school girls. Again, the Felon claimed the strikes to be a great success.
What followed is something the geographically challenged Felon did not anticipate. Iran struck back at U.S. bases and our Middle Eastern allies. More important, they shut down all shipping traffic past the Strait of Hormuz.
Now this is a conundrum that neither the Felon nor his sidekicks had anticipated. It doesn’t take a world power to close the Strait. All it takes is a few determined individuals equipped with drones, small missiles and enough explosives to damage a few oil tankers and container ships. That is enough for shipping companies to lose their insurance coverage and abandon further attempts.
Currently, there are more than 2,000 ships stranded in the Persian Gulf unwilling to attempt passage. These are ships that move approximately 20 percent of the world’s oil, in addition to a wide variety of other goods, including fertilizer needed for crops in the U.S. and elsewhere.
The astonishing thing about this situation is that any middle schooler with an understanding of geography could see the potential problem of starting a war of choice with Iran. But the Felon and his Secretary of War couldn’t. They obviously committed to the attacks without a goal and without a plan. And now they’re stuck.
They claim the war has already been won. That Iran has no ships, no aircraft, no weapons. Yet the Strait is still closed, and the military says that we are also running out of advanced weapons. They claim that there is a ceasefire. But the U.S. and Israel continue to strike Iran, and Iran continues to strike back. In response, the Felon threatens war crimes and nuclear obliteration.
So far, the war has cost U.S. taxpayers somewhere between $42 billion and $84 billion. And that doesn’t include the $11 billion in additional weapons sent to Israel. Neither does it include the approximately $50 billion in damage to U.S. bases in the Middle East. Nor does it include the $500 billion that the Felon wants to add to our already bloated military budget.
Moreover, it doesn’t include the additional costs for goods and services as a result of rising fuel costs and disrupted supply chains – a total likely far larger than the cost of military weapons and bases. And, of course, it doesn’t include the human costs in lives lost, disrupted or forever changed.
Nevertheless, the Felon continues to claim that he’s winning this “excursion.” He’s not just at war with Iran. He’s at war with reality.